
The Concord of the Five Religions
Chapter 2 Islam
Part 5: The Contemporary State of Islam
Islam is the world’s second-largest religion today, with approximately 2 billion adherents as of 2025, accounting for about 25% of the global population (assuming a world population of around 8 billion). Over 14 centuries of development, its influence has extended across Asia, Africa, Europe, and the Americas. However, the religion displays significant diversity in distribution, doctrinal vitality, and social role. This section explores Islam’s contemporary condition from a global perspective, including believer distribution, trends, challenges, and societal impact.
1. Global Distribution of Believers
Islam is primarily concentrated in Asia and Africa, although Muslim populations in Europe and the Americas have grown significantly due to migration. The major regions are as follows:
Asia (Approximately 1.2 billion Muslims)
South Asia:
Pakistan (approx. 220 million), India (approx. 200 million), and Bangladesh (approx. 150 million) are major Muslim countries, mostly Sunni, with Shia and Ahmadi minorities found in India.
Southeast Asia:
Indonesia is the world’s largest Muslim-majority nation (approx. 230 million, mostly Sunni). Malaysia (~20 million) and the southern Philippines (e.g., Mindanao) also have substantial Muslim populations.
Middle East:
Saudi Arabia (~35 million, Sunni Wahhabism), Iran (~80 million, Shia), and Turkey (~85 million, Sunni) are core centers.
Central Asia:
Countries like Kazakhstan and Uzbekistan have about 70 million Muslims combined, mostly following the Sunni Hanafi school.
Africa (Approximately 600 million Muslims)
North Africa:
Egypt (~100 million) and Algeria (~45 million) are overwhelmingly Sunni.
Sub-Saharan Africa:
Nigeria (~110 million, mix of Sunni and Shia), Sudan (~40 million), and Kenya (~10 million) show rapid religious growth. Sufi traditions retain strong influence in West Africa (e.g., Senegal).
Europe (Approximately 30 million Muslims)
Most Muslims are immigrants or their descendants.
France (~6 million), Germany (~5 million), and the UK (~4 million) include large Muslim populations, mostly Sunni and of Turkish or North African origin. Eastern Europe (e.g., Bosnia) has indigenous Muslim communities.
The Americas (Approximately 10 million Muslims)
The United States has about 5 million Muslims (both immigrants and converts), Canada about 2 million, and Latin America (Brazil, Argentina, etc.) about 3 million, with notable Shia populations among Lebanese-origin communities.
Oceania (Approximately 700,000 Muslims)
Australia hosts the largest community (around 700,000), mostly Sunni immigrants.
2. Major Trends
Islam in 2025 exhibits multiple developmental trends, reflecting its adaptation to globalization and modern society.
Population Growth & Youth Demographics
Muslim population growth exceeds the global average (approx. 1.5% annually), driven by high fertility rates and active religious expansion, particularly in Africa and South Asia. By 2050, Muslims are projected to reach 2.8 billion, approaching Christianity (~3 billion). A youthful demographic (about 50% under 25) fuels religious vitality and social movements.
Digitalization and Missionary Work
Technology has reshaped religious transmission:
Online Qur’an platforms
Islamic apps (e.g., Muslim Pro for prayer times and qibla direction)
Social media content on TikTok and YouTube
Post-pandemic, online Friday prayers (Jumu’ah) became normalized, extending outreach.
Doctrinal Diversity
Competition between Sunni and Shia blocs—such as the Saudi (Sunni) vs. Iranian (Shia) geopolitical rivalry—affects conflicts in Yemen, Lebanon, and elsewhere.
Sufi influence has declined under secularization pressures, yet remains strong in South Asia and West Africa.
Coexistence of Modernism and Conservatism
Modernist movements (e.g., Turkey’s Gülen movement promoting education and interfaith dialogue) coexist with conservative ones (e.g., Saudi Wahhabism’s literalist interpretations of Sharia). Debates center on:
women’s rights (e.g., Saudi women driving since 2018)
educational reform (e.g., modernization of Indonesian Islamic boarding schools)
3. Current Challenges
Islam faces internal and external challenges in 2025:
The Legacy of Extremism
Although al-Qaeda and ISIS have sharply declined (ISIS lost territorial control in 2019 and now functions as scattered insurgent groups), their impact persists. Examples include:
depleted Christian and minority populations in Iraq and Syria
Yazidi trauma
Boko Haram’s ongoing violence inNigeria
Mainstream Muslims reject extremism, yet negative stereotypes remain widespread.
Secularization and Religious Pluralism
In Europe and North America, young Muslims face strong secularizing pressures. For instance, about 20% of Muslim youth in France now identify as non-religious.
Islam competes with other religions and secular ideologies in pluralistic societies, illustrated by U.S. debates over mosque construction and religious freedom.
Internal Sectarian Conflict
Sunni–Shia tensions remain prominent:
Yemen’s civil war (Saudi-backed Sunnis vs. Iran-backed Shia Houthis)
Lebanon’s political crisis
Iraq’s persistent power struggle between Shia majorities and Sunni minorities
Integration and Discrimination
Muslim immigrants in Europe often confront social marginalization:
Turkish communities in Germany
North Africans in France
Anti-Islamic sentiment (“Islamic separatism” rhetoric in France), debates over halal food, and headscarf bans influence identity formation.
4. Social and Cultural Influence
Islam continues to shape global society and culture in many ways:
Education and Charity
Islamic institutions operate schools and charities globally:
Saudi zakat funds support mosque-building
Indonesia’s Muhammadiyah organization runs thousands of schools and hospitals
Islamic relief organizations played major roles in climate disaster responses, such as the Pakistan floods.
Culture and the Arts
Islamic architecture (e.g., the Blue Mosque), calligraphy, and music (e.g., the Arabic oud) resonate internationally. Islamic themes appear in:
Turkish historical dramas on Netflix
Muslim fashion brands (particularly hijab designers)
Law and Ethics
Sharia remains the foundation of law in Saudi Arabia, Iran, and others, shaping marriage, inheritance, and criminal penalties (e.g., flogging).
In secular states like Indonesia, Sharia applies primarily to personal matters.
Islamic ethics (e.g., bans on alcohol, emphasis on charity) influence social norms.
Localization Within Globalization
Examples:
West African Islam incorporating Sufi traditions (e.g., Senegal’s Mouride order)
Indonesian Muslims integrating Javanese practices (e.g., shadow puppetry)
European Muslim youth creating “hip-hop Islam” culture
5. Outlook as of 2025
Growth and Transformation
Future growth will likely center in Africa and Asia; Africa’s Muslim population could exceed 800 million by 2050.
Contrasts between Southeast Asia’s moderate Islam (e.g., Indonesia) and the Middle East’s conservative forms will shape global perceptions.
Adaptation and Innovation
Islam is finding new forms in response to secularization and technology:
online fatwa platforms
the rise of female Islamic scolars (e.g., Egypt’s first female muftis appointed in 2023)
environmental reforms in religious practice (e.g., “green initiatives” in the 2024 Mecca pilgrimage)
Challenges and Opportunities
Islam must navigate stigma related to extremism and internal sectarian divides, while also seizing opportunities for interfaith dialogue (e.g., UN-sponsored religious harmony programs). The engagement of the younger generation will be decisive in shaping its modernization path.
